Team Preview: Indianapolis Colts
We are almost their everyone. I can see the finish line on our 32-Team Preview. We have just two teams left, and today is the 2nd place team from the AFC South, the Indianapolis Colts.
Indianapolis was great all around scoring the 9th most points in 2020 while throwing for the 11th most passing yards. They were 11th in rushing yards on their way to an 11-5 record. Vegas has them winning 10 games, the 8th most in the NFL.
Carson Wentz: It seems like a lifetime ago when Wentz was in the running for MVP and alongside Deshaun Watson was having one of the best fantasy seasons by a quarterback. However since that time, he's never risen back to that level, and last year he hit rock bottom which then resulted in him being traded. The good news is that he is now on a vastly superior offense with one of the best offensive lines in the NFL. And while I do expect this team to be very balanced on offense, Philip Rivers did have the 10th most passing yards in '20. I think we see a big bounce-back season from Wentz. He had a very low TD rate in '20 that will easily jump up, and he has a stable floor due to the rushing he provides. He added 2.5 points per game with his legs last year. While I don't have him finishing as a QB1, I wouldn't be surprised if he jumped back up to the QB1 level. I currently like him as a mid-range QB2.
Jonathan Taylor: He is currently being drafted as the RB6 on Underdog Fantasy, and while that may seem a bit lofty, that's where he finished in '20. Going into year two, I expect an increase in usage. The only downside I see is fewer check-down passes now that Rivers is no longer under center. However, given how good Vegas thinks the Colts will be, the offensive line, the new QB, and this being his 2nd year as THE guy, I feel his ADP is justified and have no problem with where he is being drafted.
Nyheim Hines: Last year Hines finished as the RB15 in ppr leagues. Crazy right? However, when you compare him to other RBs on a points per game basis, he drops to the RB30. He essentially just never got hurt. I don't expect him to finish anywhere close to where he did in '20. He will catch fewer passes sans Rivers and Taylor will play a bigger role. I have him as an RB4 for '21.
T.Y. Hilton: Remember how good Hilton used to be? Well, the perennial high-upside WR2 hasn't finished inside the Top 40 the past two seasons. Health has played a part, but even last year in 15 games he was only able to rack up 762 yards. He will never be a high-touchdown scorer and is now playing in his age 31 season. He does have a QB that can throw the ball downfield now, but I wonder how elite his speed still is. I think he will have some boom weeks here and there, but he will also have a low floor. I like him as a back-end WR3 / high-end WR4 for '21.
Michael Pittman Jr.: There was a two-week period where Pittman looked like another one of the WRs from the '20 draft class who was about to take off. During weeks 10-11, he racked up 188 yards and a touchdown, good for 35 fantasy points. Unfortunately, that was all the good we got from him. Those were the only two games he was able to score more than 10 fantasy points. Looking ahead, I don't know that it will get much better. This team will rely heavily on Taylor and the run game, and he will be competing with Hilton and Campbell for targets. I like him as a WR4.
Parris Campbell: When healthy, Campbell has been decent and performed, but that's the thing, he hasn't been on the field much. In fact, he's only appeared in 9 games during his two years in the league. I don't think he can finish as anything higher than a WR3, but I like him about as much as I do Hilton and Pittman, but the cost to acquire is a couple of rounds later. So I actually like him at cost the most out of the WR corp.