2024 DRAFT GUIDE AVAILABLE NOW • PRINTABLE CHEAT SHEET INCLUDED

Players to Avoid: Tyler Higbee

Join my Best Ball League

In 2020, Tyler Higbee had one game with 3 TDs in week 2, and that was the ONLY value that he provided to your fantasy football team. Apart from that, from weeks 1-8, he scored: 7.0, 8.0, 5.0, 3.2, 8.6, and 3.4 points. By then, you dropped him from your redraft roster and never thought about him again. 

So WHY is Higbee’s ADP creeping into the 8th round, and why is he being treated as a top 10 TE. What is there to cling to that possibly indicates that Tyler Higbee is anything close to a fantasy football relevant player?

Well, let me take you back in time to December of 2019. It was a completely different time. There was no Covid-19, Todd Gurley was still scoring fantasy points, and Tyler Higbee was the TE1 in FPPG for 5 games.

Tyler Higbee Game Logs

Apart from a single month in 2019, Tyler Higbee has never been a viable fantasy football asset. So what’s the argument for Higbee in 2021? Let’s examine a couple of arguments.

‘Stafford targets TEs a lot; just look at Hockenson last year.’

The second half of the statement is, in fact, true. Hockenson was 5th in the NFL among TEs with 101 targets. Stafford targeted the TE position at a 23.86% rate, the highest rate of his career since 2012 when he targeted the position at a rate of 29.31%. However, was that a result of Stafford’s love of TEs or a result of other factors?

Let’s take a look at 2018; however, when Stafford targeted TEs 11.48% of the time, the lowest rate of his career. In that season, the TE room was made up of Levine Toilolo and Luke Willson. But how could this be? If Stafford loved to target his TE a lot, why did the TEs not see many targets? It is, of course, because targets are earned -not given. If the TEs that Stafford had weren’t playing well, he would have no reason to target them.

Revisiting that 2012 season where Stafford targeted his TEs at the highest rate of his career, we see that apart from Calvin Johnson, his two highest targeted receivers were former 1st round pick Brandon Pettigrew and former 2nd round pick Tony Scheffler. While they were no prime Greg Olsen or Jimmy Graham, they were undoubtedly serviceable, solid TEs. They EARNED their targets.

‘Gerald Everett is gone, and Higbee will see all of the TE targets now.’

This argument is a branch of one of my least favorite arguments in favor of a player: vacated targets. It shouldn’t be assumed that just because there are “TE targets for the taking,” Higbee will now see an increase in volume. It also stems back to the previous argument and how false it is: targets are earned, not given.

If Higbee couldn’t earn as many targets with Gerald Everett (a TE who has maxed out at 400 yards in his career) holding him back, then I’m not sure that he’ll be able to earn enough targets to be anything more than average in 2020.

‘No, you don’t understand; it was when Everett was out that Higbee was good for 5 weeks in 2019.’

It’s true, during Higbee’s terrific 2019 stretch, Gerald Everett was out, and Higbee racked up 56 targets, 43 receptions, 522 yards, and 2 TDs for an incredible 21.4 PPR PPG. But after that terrific stretch, he went back to a below-average fantasy football TE, finishing as TE23 in PPG. 

While the entire Rams’ offense did regress in 2020, no one regressed quite as much as Tyler Higbee. Despite his terrific 2019 end-of-year stretch, Tyler Higbee was unable to replicate even close to the same production at all in 2020, and in addition, Sean McVay did not get the ball into the hands of the player he had seen explode down the stretch. 

Furthermore, looking at the opponent that Higbee faced during that 2019 historic stretch reveals a lot more. Higbee’s matchups (rank against TEs) were Arizona (32nd), Seattle (30th), Dallas (26th), San Francisco (6th), and Arizona (32nd)

This indicates that Higbee’s 2019 explosion was more of a fluke than a sign of things to come without Gerald Everett in the lineup.

Not only is Higbee unlikely to live up to top 10 TE status, but the opportunity cost to draft him is also part of a more significant problem with TEs.

I’ll just go ahead and say it, apart from the 3 elite TEs, they matter very little in fantasy football. I’ve spoken extensively about the replaceability of all non-elite TEs. For example, last year, all TEs from TE3 to TE16 were around 2-3 PPG apart from each other. Because of this, I am not only advocating for not drafting Tyler Higbee in the 8th; I am advocating for drafting zero TEs until the very last rounds.

However, Higbee not only has a good chance of never rising above the other serviceable fantasy football TEs. He also has a chance to fall below that level to droppable, as he showed in 2020 when he only saw 3 games with double-digit points and finished as the TE23 in PPG.

Instead, in the 8th round, you can target a much more useful position such as WR and RB. Since 2014, 8th round WRs hit a top 24 season 18% of the time, and 8th round RBs hit a top 24 season  28% of the time.

So not only is Higbee overrated amongst TEs, but he is also overrated in total ADP. Instead, you can pivot to several other TEs drafted much later, such as Logan Thomas, Robert Tonyan, Mike Gesicki, etc., and pivot to different positions in the 8th round, such as Brandin Cooks, Ronald Jones, and others.

Don’t be fooled again by Tyler Higbee in 2021; wait on the position and draft other players in the 8th round. Your fantasy team will thank you.

Higbee is currently being drafted as the TE8 in Best Ball. You can do better than that. Show these drafters what's up. Sign up for a new Best Ball account at UNDERDOG FANTASY with the promo code GUIDES and get a FREE Draft Guide.


4 comments

  • 바카라사이트
    카지노사이트
    카지노게임사이트
    온라인카지노
    퀸즈슬롯
    맥스카지노
    비바카지노
    카지노주소
    바카라추천
    온라인바카라게임
    안전한 바카라사이트
    바카라
    카지노
    퀸즈슬롯 카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    온라인바카라
    밀리언클럽카지노
    안전카지노사이트
    바카라사이트추천
    우리카지노계열
    슬롯머신777
    로얄카지노사이트
    크레이지슬롯
    온라인블랙잭
    인터넷룰렛
    카지노검증사이트
    안전바카라사이트
    모바일바카라
    바카라 필승법
    메리트카지노
    바카라 노하우

    바카라사이트
    온라인카지노
    카지노사이트
    카지노게임사이트
    퀸즈슬롯
    맥스카지노
    비바카지노
    카지노주소
    바카라추천
    온라인바카라게임
    안전한 바카라사이트
    바카라
    카지노
    퀸즈슬롯 카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    온라인바카라
    밀리언클럽카지노
    안전카지노사이트
    바카라사이트추천
    우리카지노계열
    슬롯머신777
    로얄카지노사이트
    크레이지슬롯
    온라인블랙잭
    인터넷룰렛
    카지노검증사이트
    안전바카라사이트
    모바일바카라
    바카라 필승법
    메리트카지노
    바카라 노하우

    https://youube.me/
    https://instagrme.com/
    https://youubbe.me/
    https://Instagrm.me/
    https://Instagrme.net/
    https://internetgame.me/
    https://instagrme.live/
    https://naverom.me
    https://facebokom.me

    https://www.gamja888.com/ - 스피드바카라
  • 바카라사이트
    온라인바카라
    실시간바카라
    퀸즈슬롯
    바카라게임
    카지노주소
    온라인카지노
    온라인카지노사이트
    바카라게임사이트
    실시간바카라사이트
    바카라
    카지노
    우리카지노
    더킹카지노
    샌즈카지노
    예스카지노
    코인카지노
    더나인카지노
    더존카지노
    카지노사이트
    골드카지노
    에볼루션카지노
    카지노 슬롯게임
    baccarat
    텍사스 홀덤 포카
    blackjack

    바카라사이트
    온라인바카라
    실시간바카라
    퀸즈슬롯
    바카라게임
    카지노주소
    온라인카지노
    온라인카지노사이트
    바카라게임사이트
    실시간바카라사이트
    바카라
    카지노
    우리카지노
    더킹카지노
    샌즈카지노
    예스카지노
    코인카지노
    더나인카지노
    더존카지노
    카지노사이트
    골드카지노
    에볼루션카지노
    카지노 슬롯게임
    baccarat
    텍사스 홀덤 포카
    blackjack

    https://youube.me/
    https://gamja888.com/
    https://youubbe.me/
    https://Instagrm.me/
    https://Instagrme.net/
    https://internetgame.me/
    https://instagrme.live/
    https://naverom.me
    https://facebokom.me

    https://instagrme.com/ - 식보게임 주소
  • 카지노사이트
    슬롯사이트
    온라인카지노
    카지노주소
    카지노검증사이트
    안전한카지노사이트
    슬롯카지노
    바카라게임
    카지노추천
    비바카지노
    퀸즈슬롯
    카지노
    바카라
    안전한 바카라사이트
    온라인슬롯
    카지노사이트
    바카라
    바카라사이트
    파라오카지노
    제왕카지노
    mgm카지노
    더킹카지노
    코인카지노
    솔레어카지노
    카지노게임
    마이크로게이밍
    아시아게이밍
    타이산게이밍
    오리엔탈게임
    에볼루션게임
    드래곤타이거
    드림게이밍
    비보게이밍

    카지노사이트
    슬롯사이트
    온라인카지노
    카지노주소
    카지노검증사이트
    안전한카지노사이트
    슬롯카지노
    바카라게임
    카지노추천
    비바카지노
    퀸즈슬롯
    카지노
    바카라
    안전한 바카라사이트
    온라인슬롯
    카지노사이트
    바카라
    바카라사이트
    파라오카지노
    제왕카지노
    mgm카지노
    더킹카지노
    코인카지노
    솔레어카지노
    카지노게임
    마이크로게이밍
    아시아게이밍
    타이산게이밍
    오리엔탈게임
    에볼루션게임
    드래곤타이거
    드림게이밍
    비보게이밍

    https://youube.me/
    https://gamja888.com/
    https://instagrme.com/
    https://Instagrm.me/
    https://Instagrme.net/
    https://internetgame.me/
    https://instagrme.live/
    https://naverom.me
    https://facebokom.me

    https://youubbe.me/ - 퀸즈슬롯카지노
  • 온라인바카라
    카지노사이트
    바카라사이트
    인터넷카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    퀸즈슬롯
    카지노주소
    비바카지노
    카지노추천
    카지노게임
    온라인카지노사이트
    카지노
    바카라
    온라인카지노
    카지노게임사이트
    카지노검증사이트
    로얄카지노계열
    슬롯머신사이트
    맥스카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    카심바코리아 카지노
    모바일카지노
    실시간바카라
    라이브카지노
    온라인슬롯
    바카라 이기는방법
    안전카지노사이트
    우리카지노사이트
    샌즈카지노주소
    바카라 게임규칙
    바카라 게임방법

    온라인바카라
    카지노사이트
    바카라사이트
    인터넷카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    퀸즈슬롯
    카지노주소
    비바카지노
    카지노추천
    카지노게임
    온라인카지노사이트
    카지노
    바카라
    온라인카지노
    카지노게임사이트
    카지노검증사이트
    로얄카지노계열
    슬롯머신사이트
    맥스카지노
    바카라게임사이트
    카심바코리아 카지노
    모바일카지노
    실시간바카라
    라이브카지노
    온라인슬롯
    바카라 이기는방법
    안전카지노사이트
    우리카지노사이트
    샌즈카지노주소
    바카라 게임규칙
    바카라 게임방법

    https://gamja888.com/
    https://instagrme.com/
    https://youubbe.me/
    https://Instagrm.me/
    https://Instagrme.net/
    https://internetgame.me/
    https://instagrme.live/
    https://naverom.me
    https://facebokom.me

    https://www.youube.me/ - 월드카지노

Leave a comment