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Week 14 Lineup Advice

by Jacob Rhodes

✅ STARTS

Baker Mayfield

Vegas gives up the 3rd most fantasy points in Adjusted Points Allowed
Baker only has 4 games this season where he’s finished outside of the top 10
Vegas is bottom 10 in passing TDs allowed per game

Jameis Winston

Pass attempts, check. Game script, check. Fantasy points, check.
Jameis is the QB2 the last 3 weeks, 22.7 PPG
Had a down game for him against Pittsburgh a couple weeks ago, but that was the snow game and he was still serviceable

Sam Darnold

Has thrown multiple TDs in 5/6 games. Atlanta gives up the 7th most passing TDs per game this year
Averaging nearly 250 pass yards per game in his Last 10 contests

Matthew Stafford

Tough matchup for sure, but I would expect the Rams to be chasing points in this game
Stafford should throw a ton and has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in 5 of his last 6 games

Calvin Ridley

Leads the league in air yards
Since Hopkins left, Ridley averages 8.5 targets and 82.7 receiving yards per game
Jacksonville has the worst pass defense in the league, gives up the 3rd most fantasy points per game to wide receivers

Darnell Mooney

Great matchups across the board against Minnesota’s secondary (per PFF shadow coverage report)
It’s been a rough 2 weeks but Mooney averages 76 receiving yards in his last 5 games vs bottom 10 defenses for receiving yards allowed (Minnesota is 3rd worst)

Jakobi Meyers

Top 10 fantasy matchup
6+ receptions in 6/8 games. Tampa gives up the most receptions per game in the league
Meyers has averaged 77.8 receiving yards per game in his last 6 contests vs bottom 10 defense in receiving yards allowed (Tampa is 3rd worst)

Jerry Jeudy

I don’t think anyone is planning on sitting Jeudy after last weeks performance, but this is just a reminder that he’s a MUST START
70+ receiving yards in 5 straight games

Braelon Allen

Breece Hall downgraded to doubtful
Should see a full workload with Breece out and no suitable RBs behind him

Tyrone Tracy

Saints give up 136 rush yards per game (7th most)
Carries have been down, but receiving volume has gone up. Saints are also 5th worst against the pass

Najee Harris

Averaging nearly 80 rush yards in his last 6 home games
Cleveland is bottom half of the league in fantasy points given up to RBs
16+ carries in 6 straight games

Tony Pollard

Jacksonville allows the 3rd most receptions per game to RBs this year
Jacksonville is bottom 10 in rush yards allowed

Mike Gesicki

4+ receptions in L4/5 games

Jake Ferguson

Pivot to Schoonmaker if Ferguson misses
Bengals give up the 2nd most fantasy points to Tight Ends over the past 4 weeks

Cade Otton

Raiders have struggled against TE’s all year
Mike Evans hasn’t been practicing
Targets will be there, he should find success

Will Dissly

The tight end position is where Kansas City has been beatable all year
Chiefs give up the 5th most fantasy points per game to TEs
Put up a goose last week but had 4+ catches in 6/7 games before then

❌SITS

Justin Herbert

Matchup is bad
Ladd is banged up
Chargers have one of the lowest implied point totals this week

Geno Smith

Only 2 multiple passing TD games this year, hard to believe
DK is banged up, Walker is banged up
QB20 the last time he played Arizona and that was at home

Caleb Williams

San Fran gives up the least pass yards in the league since week 9
This isn’t the same SF dominant defense we know, but it poses a unique threat to a rookie QB
DJ Moore and D’Andre Swift were just downgrade to questionable

Kirk Cousins

I almost had Kirk as a start this week. Matchup is solid, it’s a revenge game, fun narrative.
But he looks flat out awful the past month. 0 passing touchdowns the last 3 weeks and 6 interceptions.
I still trust Mooney will have a good game, but I can’t see a massive performance from Cousins at this point.

Chuba Hubbard

Brutal matchup this week
Bottom 5 matchup, Eagles are stout against the run and should be leading this whole game
Brooks was more involved last week too, which led to Chuba having ZERO receiving volume last week

Nick Chubb

It hurts to say and see, but Chubb looks toast
3 games without a TD this year, and in those games, he hasn’t scored more than 5.2 points
Had 19 against Pittsburgh in the snow game, but he had 2 rushing TDs. Only averaged 2.95 per carry. He’s TD or bust.

Gus Edwards

Many trusted the new starter in LAC last week and it didn’t go well
This week may be worse against KC, the best team against the run this year
Gus had just 7 opportunities last week, even on his highest snap count of the season

Rachaad White

It’s the Bucky Irving show in Tampa now. It’s over for White.
White has just 33% of the rush share the past 2 weeks
But he’s always saved you in the receiving game, right? Wrong. Just TWO targets the past 2 weeks.
Bucky is questionable this week, but he should play. And if he does, you can’t start White.

Deebo Samuel

WHAT HAPPENED TO DEEBO?!?
WR49 this year. Less than 10 points per game on average. Less than 7 his last 3 weeks. 22 or LESS receiving yards in 3 straight.
Has been a top 20 WR once since week 4

Jaylen Waddle

Well that WR3 week was fun, but Waddle was WR36 last week and saw his opportunities cut in half
This week, he hasn’t the toughest matchup for fantasy WRs
It’s been a little easier going against the Jets for WRs the past month, but still bottom half of the league
I can’t trust a WR who has only been top 35 twice all season. WR40 on the year.

DK Metcalf

I know most won’t have better options this week, I am in the same spot.
But this matchup stinks for DK. Not to mention, he’s been banged up all week.
Cardinals have only allowed 1 TD to WRs since WEEK 7. They are number 6 against WRs the past 6 weeks.
And the scariest stat… Metcalf has never had 60+ receiving yards in his career against Arizona.

Adam Thielen

Last week was promising, but it’s this matchup. You can’t trust him this week.
Since Philly’s week 5 bye, they give up the fewest fantasy points to the wide receiver position
They also give up the 6th fewest yards to slot WRs this year, which is where Thielen spends most of his time.
Don’t chase the points.

Kyle Pitts

13.4 fantasy points. That’s his total.. in the last FOUR weeks.
That’s right after being a top 13 Tight End for 5 straight weeks.
You can’t start him right now, and you may be better dropping him and leaving him for someone else to deal with

Cole Kmet

You just can’t trust him in fantasy right now. 1 top 12 finish in the last 6 weeks.
He’s on the field a ton, but only has 1 game with more than 4 targets and it looks like a huge outlier.
Also has a bottom 5 matchup against San Fran

TJ Hockenson

Atlanta is allowing the 3rd fewest fantasy points to tight ends over the last 4 weeks
His snap count is going up and he seems to be getting his feet back under him, but this is a matchup I would prefer to fade

Juwan Johnson

With Taysom Hill being out for the year, I think the obvious thing to do is look Johnson’s way
He did tie the team lead in targets last year (7), but he only has double digit fantasy points twice all year
And the Giants are actually the worst matchup for Tight Ends in fantasy this year

Jacob Rhodes is a Fantasy Analyst for the Fantasy Guides brand. Formerly the owner and operator of Go For 2 Fantasy Football on Instagram, Jacob has been creating content in the fantasy space nonstop since 2019 and has been playing fantasy football for 10+ years. He treats fantasy like a full time job and is relentless in his pursuit to win championships for himself and others. As long as those others aren't in any of his dozen leagues...